Grant number: CE170100023 | Funding period: 2017 - 2024
Completed
Yi Huang, Todd Lane, Hooman Ayat, Chun-Hsu Su, Scott Wales, Dale Roberts, Paola Petrelli, Claire Vincent, Charmaine Franklin, Thi Lan Dao, Chris Chambers, Clemente Lopez Bravo, Andrew Brown, Shuxian Liu, Kimberley Reid, River Shaddock, Martin Dix, Julie Arblaster, Christian Jakob
2026-04-09
Anna M Ukkola, Steven Thomas, Elisabeth Vogel, Ulrike Bende-Michl, Steven Siems, Vjekoslav Matic, Wendy Sharples
2026-03-23
<jats:p>Abstract. Climate change is expected to exacerbate the frequency and intensity of drought in many water-limited regions. H..
AS Taschetto, S McGregor, D Dommenget, ZE Gillett, N Nicholls, S Sharmila, P van Rensch, D Verdon-Kidd, G Boschat, C Chung, R Lieber, N Abram, R Allan, K Allen, L Ashcroft, JR Brown, W Cai, S Chand, T Cowan, TL Dao
2026-02-01
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) profoundly affects Australian weather, climate, ecosystems and socio-economic sectors. In this..
G Falster, G Abramowitz, S Hobeichi, C Hughes, P Treble, NJ Abram, MI Bird, A Cauquoin, B Dixon, R Drysdale, C Jin, N Munksgaard, B Proemse, JJ Tyler, M Werner, CV Tadros
2026-01-22
The stable isotopic composition of precipitation (δ<sup>2</sup>H<inf>P</inf>, δ<sup>18</sup>O<inf>P</inf>; “water isotopes”) is a ..
TL Dao, CL Vincent, Y Huang, SC Peatman, JS Soderholm, CE Birch, DS Roberts
2026-01-01
This study investigates the impact of the interaction between large-scale and local-scale forcings in regulating rainfall patterns..
S Perkins-Kirkpatrick, L Palmer, A King, T Ziehn
2025-12-31
While historical and future increases in heatwave frequency, duration and intensity are well documented, no studies have yet exami..
E Montoya Duque, Y Huang, ST Siems, H Morrison, PT May
2025-12-28
Understanding Earth's climate sensitivity remains a critical challenge for improving climate projections. Discrepancies between re..
Accurate representation of mesoscale cellular convective (MCC) cloud morphology over the Southern Ocean is essential for improving..
A Borowiak, AD King, JR Brown, T Ziehn
2025-12-01
It is critical that climate changes beyond net zero are well understood to inform policymaking. Here we present a new estimate of ..
LGB Aragon, J Crosier, PJ Connolly, Y Huang, PT May, SJ Abel
2025-10-16
Marine cold-air outbreaks (MCAOs) drive significant evolutions in marine boundary layer clouds and play a crucial role in high-lat..
C Lopez-Bravo, CL Vincent, Y Huang, TP Lane
The Precipitation Severity Index (PSI) is used to examine the occurrence of and mechanisms behind widespread persistent rainfall e..
Nerilie J Abram, Nicola Maher, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Georgina M Falster, Terry P Hughes, Katrin J Meissner, Louise J Slater, Andrew D King, Andrew J Pitman, Gillian Moon, Wesley Morgan
2025-10-13
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>Every additional tonne of carbon dioxide emissions adds to global warming<jats..
AJ Barnes, CJ Shakespeare, AM Hogg, NC Constantinou
2025-10-01
Internal waves propagate on the ocean’s stratification, carrying energy and redistributing momentum through the ocean. When intern..
CLAIRE VINCENT, Yi Huang, Paola Petrelli, Dale Roberts
2025-08-01
This dataset contains numerical simulations covering the time period 22 February 2022 - 07 March 2022, corresponding to very heavy..
EW Doddridge, WR Hobbs, M Auger, PW Boyd, SMT Chua, S Cook, S Corney, L Emmerson, AD Fraser, P Heil, N Kelly, D Lannuzel, X Li, G Liniger, RA Massom, A Meyer, P Reid, C Southwell, P Spence, A Steketee
2025-07-01
Antarctic sea ice plays many crucial roles in the physical environments and ecosystems of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. In th..
B Duboc, KJ Meissner, L Menviel, NKH Yeung, B Hoogakker, T Ziehn, M Chamberlain
2025-06-27
Recent studies investigating future warming scenarios have shown that the ocean oxygen content will continue to decrease over the ..
D Bhagtani, A McC. Hogg, RM Holmes, NC Constantinou, H Khatri
2025-06-01
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a leading mode of atmospheric variability, affecting the North Atlantic Ocean on sub-seaso..
Y Shao, CH Bishop
Daily precipitation time series exhibit intermittent periods of high variability separated by periods of no rain, posing challenge..
Corey Robinson, Sugata Narsey, Christian Jakob, Hanh Nguyen
2025-04-07
<jats:p>Abstract. The moist margin is a sharp gradient of humidity that separates the moist deep tropics from the drier subtropics..
T Alinejadtabrizi, Y Huang, F Lang, S Siems, M Manton, L Ackermann, M Keywood, R Humphries, P Krummel, A Williams, G Ayers
2025-02-28
Cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) play a fundamental role in determining the microphysical properties of low-level clouds that are c..
KJ Reid, MA Barnes, ZE Gillett, T Parker, DG Udy, H Ayat, G Boschat, A Bowden, NH Grosfeld, AD King, D Richardson, Y Shao, L Teckentrup, B Trewin, P Hope, L Zhou, AR Borowiak, CM Holgate, RN Isphording
2025-02-01
Eastern Australia experienced record-breaking rainfall and flooding during 2022, which devastated communities and led to over AU$6..
Thi Lan Dao, Claire Vincent, Yi Huang, Joshua Soderholm
2025-01-01
This study investigates the role of the interaction between the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and local-scale forcings in regula..
CM Holgate, GM Falster, ZE Gillett, P Goswami, MO Grant, S Hobeichi, D Hoffmann, X Jiang, C Jin, X Lu, M Mu, JC Page, TJ Parker, E Vogel, NJ Abram, JP Evans, AJE Gallant, BJ Henley, J Kala, AD King
We synthesise advances in the understanding of the physical processes that play a role in developing, intensifying, and terminatin..
C Chambers, Y Huang, D Roberts
In early June 2016 a large rainband with an embedded subtropical cyclone brought extensive heavy rainfall along Australia's east c..
Yi Huang, Julie Arblaster, Todd Lane
2024-12-11
R Lieber, J Brown, A King, M Freund
2024-11-15
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant source of climate variability globally. Many of the most devastating impacts o..
Ruby Lieber, Josephine Brown, Andrew King, Mandy Freund
2024-11-01
FR Muhammad, C Vincent, A King, SW Lubis
Convectively coupled equatorial waves (CCEWs) with an off-equatorial convective center, such as equatorial Rossby (ER) waves, mixe..
V Ramadoss, K Pfannkuch, A Protat, Y Huang, S Siems, A Possner
2024-09-28
A persistent shortwave radiative bias of Southern Ocean (SO) clouds in climate models is strongly associated with incorrect cloud ..
A Brown, A Dowdy, TP Lane
2024-09-24
Previous research has suggested that the frequency and intensity of surface hazards associated with thunderstorms and convection, ..
LG Bennetts, CJ Shakespeare, CA Vreugdenhil, A Foppert, B Gayen, A Meyer, AK Morrison, L Padman, HE Phillips, CL Stevens, A Toffoli, NC Constantinou, JM Cusack, A Cyriac, EW Doddridge, MH England, DG Evans, P Heil, AMC Hogg, RM Holmes
2024-09-01
A holistic review is given of the Southern Ocean dynamic system, in the context of the crucial role it plays in the global climate..
BJ Henley, HV McGregor, AD King, O Hoegh-Guldberg, AK Arzey, DJ Karoly, JM Lough, TM DeCarlo, BK Linsley
2024-08-08
Mass coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) in Australia between 2016 and 2024 was driven by high sea surface temperature..
W Zhao, Y Huang, S Siems, M Manton, D Harrison
2024-05-17
Trade wind clouds are ubiquitous across the subtropical oceans, including the Great Barrier Reef (GBR), playing an important role ..
Tahereh Alinejadtabrizi, Steven Siems, Yi Huang
2024-04-08
2024-04-05
Piero Lionello, Roberta D'Agostino, David Ferreira, Hanh Nguyen, Martin S Singh
2024-04-01
The Hadley circulation (HC) is a global-scale atmospheric feature with air descending in the subtropics and ascending in the tropi..
Larry Aragon, Yi Huang, Peter May, Jonathan Crosier, Estefania Montoya Duque, Paul Connolly, Keith Bower
2024-03-28
Large satellite discrepancies and model biases in representing precipitation over the Southern Ocean (SO) are related directly to ..
GM Falster, NM Wright, NJ Abram, AM Ukkola, BJ Henley
2024-03-27
In drought-prone Australia, multi-year droughts have detrimental impacts on both the natural environment and human societies. For ..
Tahereh Alinejadtabrizi, Francisco Lang, Yi Huang, Luis Ackermann, Melita Keywood, Gregory Ayers, Paul Krummel, Ruhi Humphries, Alastair Williams, Steven Siems, Michael Manton
2024-02-27
Southern Ocean (SO) air is amongst the most pristine on Earth, particularly during winter. Historically, there has been a focus on..
R Weij, JMK Sniderman, JD Woodhead, JC Hellstrom, JR Brown, RN Drysdale, E Reed, S Bourne, J Gordon
2024-02-08
Late Pleistocene ice-age climates are routinely characterized as having imposed moisture stress on low- to mid-latitude ecosystems..
HX Bui, YX Li, SC Sherwood, KJ Reid, D Dommenget
2024-01-01
Previous modelling and case studies highlight the impacts of antecedent soil moisture on precipitation, showing the connection bet..
KJ Reid, D Hudson, AD King, TP Lane, AG Marshall
Extended warning of above-average and extreme precipitation is valuable to a wide range of stakeholders. However, the sporadic nat..
MJ Lipson, S Grimmond, M Best, G Abramowitz, A Coutts, N Tapper, JJ Baik, M Beyers, L Blunn, S Boussetta, E Bou-Zeid, MG De Kauwe, C de Munck, M Demuzere, S Fatichi, K Fortuniak, BS Han, MA Hendry, Y Kikegawa, H Kondo
Accurately predicting weather and climate in cities is critical for safeguarding human health and strengthening urban resilience. ..
SE Perkins-Kirkpatrick, LV Alexander, AD King, SF Kew, SY Philip, C Barnes, D Maraun, RF Stuart-Smith, A Jézéquel, E Bevacqua, S Burgess, E Fischer, GC Hegerl, J Kimutai, G Koren, KA Lawal, SK Min, M New, RC Odoulami, CM Patricola
The field of extreme event attribution (EEA) has rapidly developed over the last two decades. Various methods have been developed ..
Artur Gevorgyan, Steven Siems, Yi Huang, Luis Ackermann, Michael Manton
A heavy orographic precipitation event associated with the postfrontal sector of a midlatitude cyclone over the Australian Snowy M..
CL Vincent, AJ Dowdy
There is growing need to understand wind variability in various regions throughout the world, including in relation to wind energy..
Francisco Lang, Steven Siems, Yi Huang, Luis Ackermann
Marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) clouds cover vast areas over the ocean and have important radiative effects on the Earth'..
Lara Richards, Steven Siems, Yi Huang, Wenhui Zhao, Michael Manton, Daniel Harrison, Michael Reeder
The frequencies of marine heatwaves and thermal coral bleaching events (CBEs) over the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) continue to increa..
M Naserikia, MA Hart, N Nazarian, B Bechtel, M Lipson, KA Nice
2023-12-20
Due to the scarcity of air temperature (T<inf>a</inf>) observations, urban heat studies often rely on satellite-derived Land Surfa..
Robert Vicari, Claudia Stephan, Todd Lane, Yi Huang
2023-12-11
In water vapor-sensitive satellite imagery, small-scale wave-like perturbations of brightness temperature can be attributed to the..
TP Lane, AD King, SE Perkins-Kirkpatrick, AJ Pitman, LV Alexander, JM Arblaster, NL Bindoff, CH Bishop, MT Black, RA Bradstock, HG Clarke, AJE Gallant, MR Grose, NJ Holbrook, GJ Holland, PK Hope, DJ Karoly, TH Raupach, AM Ukkola
2023-12-01
Extreme event attribution is a rapidly growing field of climate science with important implications for public and government unde..
SCH Truong, ST Siems, PT May, Y Huang, null Vignon, A Gevorgyan
2023-11-27
Shipborne observations from the CAPRICORN-2018 field campaign were used to investigate the characteristics and variability of prec..
The effects of the diurnal cycle and large-scale atmospheric disturbances dominate rainfall and cloud variability in the Maritime ..
DNQ Hoa, TT Tien, NY Nhu, TL Dao
2023-11-01
In this study, we conducted experiments to assess the forecasting capabilities for tropical cyclone (TC) genesis over the east sea..
X Fan, TJ Peterson, BJ Henley, M Arora
Groundwater response to climate variations is often pivotal to managing groundwater sustainably. However, this relationship is rar..
Ewan Short, Todd P Lane, Craig H Bishop, Matthew C Wheeler
2023-10-01
Diurnal processes play a primary role in tropical weather. A leading hypothesis is that atmospheric gravity waves diurnally forced..
Andrew Brown, Andrew Dowdy, Todd P Lane, Stacey Hitchcock
Regional understanding of severe surface winds produced by convective processes [severe convective winds (SCWs)] is important for ..
Ewan Short, Todd P Lane
The realism of convective organization in operational convection-permitting model simulations is objectively assessed, with a part..
PL Nguyen, M Bador, LV Alexander, TP Lane
This study focuses on future seasonal changes in daily precipitation using Regional Climate Models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Reg..
N Nishant, S Hobeichi, S Sherwood, G Abramowitz, Y Shao, C Bishop, A Pitman
2023-09-01
Dynamical downscaling (DD), and machine learning (ML) based techniques have been widely applied to downscale global climate models..
Thi Lan Dao, Claire L Vincent, Todd P Lane
This study examines the multiscale modulation of mean and extreme rainfall in Northeast (NE) Australia under different background ..
A Borowiak, A King, T Lane
2023-04-28
Rainfall during the monsoon in northwest Australia has increased since the 1950s. Previous studies have explored possible causes o..
GM McFarquhar, CS Bretherton, R Marchand, A Protat, PJ DeMott, SP Alexander, GC Roberts, CH Twohy, D Toohey, S Siems, Y Huang, R Wood, RM Rauber, S Lasher-Trapp, J Jensen, JL Stith, J Mace, J Um, E Järvinen, M Schnaiter
2023-04-01
SM Hitchcock, TP Lane
2023-03-01
Over half of the total rainfall and more than 70% of heavy and extreme rainfall in the Melbourne, Australia, region occurs on days..
S Hobeichi, N Nishant, Y Shao, G Abramowitz, A Pitman, S Sherwood, C Bishop, S Green
Global climate models (GCMs) are commonly downscaled to understand future local climate change. The high computational cost of reg..
Clemente Clemente Lopez-Bravo, Claire Vincent, Yi Huang, Todd Lane
2023-02-01
A West Sumatra squall line occurred on 10 January 2016, with a clear offshore propagation of convection. Satellite-derived product..
Andrew DD King, Kimberley JJ Reid, Kate RR Saunders
2023-01-01
Extreme rainfall events are often linked to climate change based on simple thermodynamic arguments, but complex dynamic processes ..
KJ Reid
Few meteorological terms have caused such debate as Atmospheric Rivers (ARs). ARs were proposed in 1992, but a formal definition f..
K Fowler, M Peel, M Saft, TJ Peterson, A Western, L Band, C Petheram, S Dharmadi, KS Tan, L Zhang, P Lane, A Kiem, L Marshall, A Griebel, BE Medlyn, D Ryu, G Bonotto, C Wasko, A Ukkola, C Stephens
2022-12-06
The Millennium Drought lasted more than a decade and is notable for causing persistent shifts in the relationship between rainfall..
A Gevorgyan, L Ackermann, Y Huang, S Siems, M Manton
2022-12-01
The case study of a heavy precipitation event associated with the passage of cold front over the Australian Snowy Mountains (ASM) ..
Ewan Short, Todd P Lane, Claire L Vincent
2022-11-30
In the classical model of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), a system generates new convective cells on the down-shear side of i..
2022-11-17
Severe winds associated with thunderstorms and convection are a hazard affecting key aspects of society, including emergency manag..
R Lieber, A King, J Brown, L Ashcroft, M Freund, C McMichael
2022-11-16
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impacts climate variability globally and can influence extreme climate and weather events...
ST Siems, Y Huang, MJ Manton
2022-11-01
Large differences continue to exist between current precipitation products over the Southern Ocean (SO). This limits our ability t..
Martin Bergemann, Todd P Lane, Scott Wales, Sugata Narsey, Valentin Louf
2022-10-14
Recent increases in computational resources have led to the application of kilometre- and sub-kilometre-scale simulations in resea..
CH Bishop, NW Eizenberg
2022-10-01
Ideally, tangent linear models (TLMs) predict the difference between perturbed and unperturbed non-linear forecasts of interest. T..
Kerry A Nice, Negin Nazarian, Mathew J Lipson, Melissa A Hart, Sachith Seneviratne, Jason Thompson, Marzie Naserikia, Branislava Godic, Mark Stevenson
Public health risks resulting from urban heat in cities are increasing due to rapid urbanisation and climate change, motivating cl..
PL Nguyen, M Bador, LV Alexander, TP Lane, T Ngo-Duc
The ability of regional climate models (RCMs) to accurately simulate the current climate is increasingly important for impact asse..
E Montoya Duque, Y Huang, ST Siems, PT May, A Protat, GM McFarquhar
2022-09-16
The persistent Southern Ocean (SO) shortwave radiation biases in climate models and reanalyses have been associated with the poor ..
S Lestari, A Protat, V Louf, A King, C Vincent, S Mori
2022-09-01
Jakarta, a megacity in Indonesia, experiences recurrent floods associated with heavy rainfall. Characteristics of subdaily rainfal..
S Lestari, A King, C Vincent, A Protat, D Karoly, S Mori
2022-08-01
Research on the interaction between the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and rainfall around Jakarta is limited, although the influ..
Y Villalobos, PJ Rayner, JD Silver, S Thomas, V Haverd, J Knauer, ZM Loh, NM Deutscher, DWT Griffith, DF Pollard
2022-07-12
In this study, we employ a regional inverse modelling approach to estimate monthly carbon fluxes over the Australian continent for..
J Beringer, CE Moore, J Cleverly, DI Campbell, H Cleugh, MG De Kauwe, MUF Kirschbaum, A Griebel, S Grover, A Huete, LB Hutley, J Laubach, T Van Niel, SK Arndt, AC Bennett, LA Cernusak, D Eamus, CM Ewenz, JP Goodrich, M Jiang
2022-06-01
In 2020, the Australian and New Zealand flux research and monitoring network, OzFlux, celebrated its 20<sup>th</sup> anniversary b..
Clemente Lopez Bravo, Yi Huang, Claire Vincent
2022-05-25
KJ REID, AD KING, TP LANE, D Hudson
2022-05-01
Studies of atmospheric rivers (ARs) over Australia have, so far, only focused on northwest cloudband-type weather systems. Here we..
Son Cong Hoang Truong, Yi Huang, Steven Siems, Michael Manton, Francisco Lang
2022-04-18
The thermodynamic structure of the lower troposphere in the 37 standard levels ERA5 reanalysis has been evaluated against 2,186 hi..
JC Page, MG De Kauwe, G Abramowitz, J Cleverly, N Hinko-Najera, MJ Hovenden, Y Liu, AJ Pitman, K Ogle
2022-04-05
The vegetation's response to climate change is a significant source of uncertainty in future terrestrial biosphere model projectio..
M Garg, JD Silver, R Schofield, RG Ryan
2022-04-01
Emission inventories are a fundamental input for atmospheric chemical transport models in order to accurately simulate air polluti..
L Ashcroft, B Trewin, M Benoy, D Ray, C Courtney
Weather observing stations are subject to changes in instrumentation, location and surrounding environment over time. Parallel obs..
SL Fiddes, MT Woodhouse, S Utembe, R Schofield, SP Alexander, J Alroe, SD Chambers, Z Chen, L Cravigan, E Dunne, RS Humphries, G Johnson, MD Keywood, TP Lane, B Miljevic, Y Omori, A Protat, Z Ristovski, P Selleck, HB Swan
2022-02-22
Coral reefs have been found to produce the sulfur compound dimethyl sulfide (DMS), a climatically relevant aerosol precursor predo..
SE Perkins-Kirkpatrick, DA Stone, DM Mitchell, S Rosier, AD King, YTE Lo, J Pastor-Paz, D Frame, M Wehner
2022-02-01
Investigations into the role of anthropogenic climate change in extreme weather events are now starting to extend into analysis of..
Wenhui Zhao, Yi Huang, Steven Siems, Michael Manton
2022-01-01
A characterization of cloud properties associated with precipitation in the region around the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) is construc..
S Kotsuki, CH Bishop
Recent numerical weather prediction systems have significantly improved medium-range forecasts by implementing hybrid background e..
CL Vincent, Y Huang
This study examines the relationships between the diurnal precipitation cycle, local morning insolation, and local and large-scale..
Clemente Lopez-Bravo, Claire Vincent, Yi Huang, Todd Lane
2021-12-13
PH Raavi, KJE Walsh
2021-12-01
The present study investigates the effect of increasing sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on tropical cyclone (TC) frequency using t..
In this study, we present the assimilation of data from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) (land nadir and glint data, vers..
KJ Reid, TA O'Brien, AD King, TP Lane
2021-11-28
During March 2021, large regions of Eastern Australia experienced prolonged heavy rainfall and extensive flooding. The maximum dai..
Z Nicholls, J Lewis, M Makin, U Nattala, GZ Zhang, SJ Mutch, E Tescari, M Meinshausen
2021-11-01
The world's most complex climate models are currently running a range of experiments as part of the Sixth Coupled Model Intercompa..
SM Hitchcock, TP Lane, RA Warren, JS Soderholm
2021-10-01
Linear precipitation systems are a prominent contributor to rainfall over Melbourne, Australia, and the surrounding region. These ..
NKH YEUNG, SC SHERWOOD, A PROTAT, TP LANE, C WILLIAMS
2021-09-01
Data from an upward-pointing wind profiler radar pair at Darwin in tropical Australia are used to determine the characteristics of..
W Cai, A Santoso, M Collins, B Dewitte, C Karamperidou, JS Kug, M Lengaigne, MJ McPhaden, MF Stuecker, AS Taschetto, A Timmermann, L Wu, SW Yeh, G Wang, B Ng, F Jia, Y Yang, J Ying, XT Zheng, T Bayr
Originating in the equatorial Pacific, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has highly consequential global impacts, motivating..
J Gergis, Z Baillie, S Ingallina, L Ashcroft, T Ellwood
2021-08-01
Southwestern Australia is a high priority area for climate research as there has been a significant, anthropogenically influenced ..
RA Warren, C Jakob, SM Hitchcock, BA White
2021-07-01
Focussing on the major cities of Brisbane, Sydney, and Melbourne in southeast Australia, this study seeks to determine the environ..
Y Huang, ST Siems, MJ Manton
2021-06-16
In situ observations made over 20 flights during three Austral winters (June to October 2013–2015) were analyzed to characterize t..
D Dutta, SC Sherwood, KJ Meissner, ASEN Gupta, DJ Lunt, GJL Tourte, R Colman, S Narsey, D Fuchs, JR Brown
2021-06-15
When simulating past warm climates, such as the early Cretaceous and Paleogene periods, general circulation models (GCMs) underest..
Z Nicholls, M Meinshausen, J Lewis, MR Corradi, K Dorheim, T Gasser, R Gieseke, AP Hope, NJ Leach, LA McBride, Y Quilcaille, J Rogelj, RJ Salawitch, BH Samset, M Sandstad, A Shiklomanov, RB Skeie, CJ Smith, SJ Smith, X Su
2021-06-01
Over the last decades, climate science has evolved rapidly across multiple expert domains. Our best tools to capture state-of-the-..
EP Lim, HH Hendon, L Shi, C de Burgh-Day, D Hudson, A King, B Trewin, M Griffiths, A Marshall
We explore the causes and predictability of extreme low minimum temperatures (T<inf>min</inf>) that occurred across northern and e..
SL Fiddes, MT Woodhouse, TP Lane, R Schofield
2021-04-19
Dimethyl sulfide (DMS) is a naturally occurring aerosol precursor gas which plays an important role in the global sulfur budget, a..
Andrew David King, Alexander R Borowiak, Josephine R Brown, David John Frame, Luke James Harrington, Seung-Ki Min, Angeline Greene Pendergrass, Maria AA Rugenstein, Kale Sniderman, Dáithí A Stone
2021-04-12
RG Ryan, JD Silver, R Schofield
2021-04-01
Poor air quality is an emerging problem in Australia primarily due to ozone pollution events and lengthening and more severe wildf..
Diego S Carrio, Craig H Bishop, Shunji Kotsuki
During the last decade, the replacement of static climatological forecast error covariance models with hybrid error covariance mod..
Kimberley J Reid, Suzanne M Rosier, Luke J Harrington, Andrew D King, Todd P Lane
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are narrow and elongated regions of enhanced horizontal water vapour transport. Considerable research on ..
JA Ridout, NP Barton, MA Janiga, CA Reynolds, JC May, C Rowley, CH Bishop
A simple parameter nudging procedure is described that systematically reduces near-analysis time errors in the surface net shortwa..
N Barton, EJ Metzger, CA Reynolds, B Ruston, C Rowley, OM Smedstad, JA Ridout, A Wallcraft, S Frolov, P Hogan, MA Janiga, JF Shriver, J McLay, P Thoppil, A Huang, W Crawford, T Whitcomb, CH Bishop, L Zamudio, M Phelps
This paper describes the new global Navy Earth System Prediction Capability (Navy-ESPC) coupled atmosphere-ocean-sea ice predictio..
Clemente Lopez-Bravo, Claire Vincent, Yi Huang
2021-03-15
TA Beischer, P Gregory, K Dayal, JR Brown, AN Charles, WXD Wang, JN Brown
2021-03-01
Regional seasonal forecasting requires accurate simulation of the variability of local climate drivers. The South Pacific Converge..
Todd P Lane
2021-02-16
Organized mesoscale convection is important for many atmospheric phenomena and hazards, however the understanding of its governing..
P Uhe, D Mitchell, PD Bates, MR Allen, RA Betts, C Huntingford, AD King, BM Sanderson, H Shiogama
2021-02-01
Precipitation events cause disruption around the world and will be altered by climate change. However, different climate modeling ..
E Pihl, E Alfredsson, M Bengtsson, KJ Bowen, V Cástan Broto, KT Chou, H Cleugh, K Ebi, CM Edwards, E Fisher, P Friedlingstein, A Godoy-Faúndez, M Gupta, AR Harrington, K Hayes, BM Hayward, SR Hebden, T Hickmann, G Hugelius, T Ilyina
2021-01-27
Non-Technical summary We summarize some of the past year's most important findings within climate change-related research. New res..
Robyn Schofield, Steven Utembe, Caitlin Gionfriddo, Michael Tate, David Krabbenhoft, Samuel Adeloju, Melita Keywood, Roger Dargaville, Mike Sandiford
2021-01-01
Gaseous elemental mercury observations were conducted at Churchill, Victoria, in Australia from April to July, 2013, using a Tekra..
A Lozano-Durán, NC Constantinou, MA Nikolaidis, M Karp
Despite the nonlinear nature of turbulence, there is evidence that part of the energy-transfer mechanisms sustaining wall turbulen..
NJ Abram, BJ Henley, AS Gupta, TJR Lippmann, H Clarke, AJ Dowdy, JJ Sharples, RH Nolan, T Zhang, MJ Wooster, JB Wurtzel, KJ Meissner, AJ Pitman, AM Ukkola, BP Murphy, NJ Tapper, MM Boer
The 2019/20 Black Summer bushfire disaster in southeast Australia was unprecedented: the extensive area of forest burnt, the radia..
Robert G Ryan, Steve Rhodes, Matt Tully, Robyn Schofield
2020-12-20
Two and a half years of multi-axis differential optical absorption spectroscopy (MAX-DOAS) measurements of nitrogen dioxide (NO2),..
S Lestari, A King, C Vincent
2020-12-07
Heavy rainfall has been known as one of the factors inducing hydrometeorological hazards over the Megacity Jakarta. However, resea..
RG Ryan, JD Silver, R Querel, D Smale, S Rhodes, M Tully, N Jones, R Schofield
2020-12-04
South-eastern Australia has been identified by modelling studies as a hotspot of biogenic volatile organic compound (VOC) emission..
Greg McFarquhar, Chris Bretherton, Roger Marchand, Alain Protat, Paul DeMott, Simon Alexander, Greg Roberts, Cynthia Twohy, Darin Toohey, Steven Siems, Yi Huang, Robert Wood, Robert Rauber, Sonia Lasher-Trapp, Jensen Jensen, Jeff Stith, Jay Mace, Emma Järvinen, Martin Schnaiter, Andrew Gettelman
2020-11-24
Weather and climate models are challenged by uncertainties and biases in simulating Southern Ocean (SO) radiative fluxes that trac..
Roberta D'Agostino, Josephine R Brown, Aurel Moise, Hanh Nguyen, Pedro L Silva Dias, Johann Jungclaus
2020-11-15
Past changes of Southern Hemisphere (SH) monsoons are less investigated than their northern counterpart because of relatively scar..
S Philip, S Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, F Otto, R Vautard, K van der Wiel, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst
2020-11-10
Over the last few years, methods have been developed to answer questions on the effect of global warming on recent extreme events...
Stanley B Trier, Robert D Sharman, Domingo Munoz-Esparza, Todd P Lane
2020-11-01
A large midlatitude cyclone occurred over the central United States from 0000 to 1800 UTC 30 April 2017. During this period, there..
Zebedee RJ Nicholls, Malte Meinshausen, Jared Lewis, Robert Gieseke, Dietmar Dommenget, Kalyn Dorheim, Chen-Shuo Fan, Jan S Fuglestvedt, Thomas Gasser, Ulrich Goluke, Philip Goodwin, Corinne Hartin, Austin P Hope, Elmar Kriegler, Nicholas J Leach, Davide Marchegiani, Laura A McBride, Yann Quilcaille, Joeri Rogelj, Ross J Salawitch
2020-10-31
Reduced-complexity climate models (RCMs) are critical in the policy and decision making space, and are directly used within multip..
Son Truong, Yi Huang, Francisco Lang, Martina Messmer, Ian Simmonds, Steven Siems, Michael Manton
2020-10-27
A climatology of the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) and the lower free troposphere over the Southern Ocean (SO) is const..
Kimberley J Reid, Andrew D King, Todd P Lane, Ewan Short
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are elongated narrow bands of enhanced water vapor that can cause intense rainfall and flooding. ARs only..
Josephine R Brown, Matthieu Lengaigne, Benjamin R Lintner, Matthew J Widlansky, Karin van der Wiel, Cyril Dutheil, Braddock K Linsley, Adrian J Matthews, James Renwick
2020-10-01
The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) is a diagonal band of intense rainfall and deep atmospheric convection extending from th..
Mandy B Freund, Josephine R Brown, Benjamin J Henley, David J Karoly, Jaclyn N Brown
Given the consequences and global significance of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events it is essential to understand the rep..
Michael Manton, Yi Huang, Steven Siems
2020-09-22
The Southern Ocean lies beneath a unique region of the global atmosphere with minimal effects of land masses on the zonal flow. Th..
LJ Vargo, BM Anderson, R Dadić, HJ Horgan, AN Mackintosh, AD King, AM Lorrey
2020-09-01
Glaciers are unique indicators of climate change. While recent global-scale glacier decline has been attributed to anthropogenic f..
William Crawford, Sergey Frolov, Justin McLay, Carolyn A Reynolds, Neil Barton, Benjamin Ruston, Craig H Bishop
This paper illustrates that analysis corrections, when applied as a model tendency term, can be used to improve nonlinear model fo..
Andrew McC Hogg, Bishakhdatta Gayen
2020-08-28
Midlatitude gyres in the ocean are large‐scale horizontal circulations that are intensified on the western boundary of the ocean, ..
J Gergis, L Ashcroft, P Whetton
2020-08-01
Global temperature increases are most clearly detected in the shifting distribution of extreme events. Australia’s warming climate..
Yohanna Villalobos, Peter Rayner, Steven Thomas, Jeremy Silver
2020-07-21
This paper addresses the question of how much uncertainties in CO2 fluxes over Australia can be reduced by assimilation of total-c..
SY Narsey, JR Brown, RA Colman, F Delage, SB Power, AF Moise, H Zhang
2020-07-16
Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon have been highly uncertain in previous generations of coupled climate models..
AD King, D Hudson, EP Lim, AG Marshall, HH Hendon, TP Lane, O Alves
2020-07-01
Seasonal climate prediction to date has largely focussed on probabilistic forecasts for above- and below-average conditions in cli..
S Paik, SK Min, X Zhang, MG Donat, AD King, Q Sun
2020-06-28
This study conducts a detection and attribution analysis of the observed changes in extreme precipitation during 1951–2015. Observ..
LD Grant, MW Moncrieff, TP Lane, SC van den Heever
The impact of cold pools on line-orientated convective systems is assessed using idealized simulations of tropical oceanic convect..
Douglas R Allen, Sergey Frolov, Rolf Langland, Craig H Bishop, Karl W Hoppel, David D Kuhl, Max Yaremchuk
2020-06-01
An ensemble-based linearized forecast model has been developed for data assimilation applications for numerical weather prediction..
M Zhang, H Yu, AD King, Y Wei, J Huang, Y Ren
2020-05-27
East-Central Asia is one of the most vulnerable and sensitive regions to climate change, and the variability of extreme precipitat..
Michal Strzelec, Bernadette C Proemse, Leon A Barmuta, Melanie Gault-Ringold, Maximilien Desservettaz, Philip W Boyd, Morgane MG Perron, Robyn Schofield, Andrew R Bowie
2020-05-07
Aerosols from Western Australia supply micronutrient trace elements including Fe into the western shelf of Australia and further a..
MR Grose, S Narsey, FP Delage, AJ Dowdy, M Bador, G Boschat, C Chung, JB Kajtar, S Rauniyar, MB Freund, K Lyu, H Rashid, X Zhang, S Wales, C Trenham, NJ Holbrook, T Cowan, L Alexander, JM Arblaster, S Power
2020-05-04
Outputs from new state-of-the-art climate models under the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) promise improvem..
E Hawkins, D Frame, L Harrington, M Joshi, A King, M Rojas, R Sutton
2020-03-28
Changes in climate are usually considered in terms of trends or differences over time. However, for many impacts requiring adaptat..
CH Bishop, JS Whitaker, L Lei
2020-03-17
2020-03-01
In the present study, global tropical cyclone (TC) formation characteristics are estimated using two fundamentally different Commo..
Andrew D King, Andy J Pitman, Benjamin J Henley, Anna M Ukkola, Josephine R Brown
2020-02-24
The Poisson regression model remains an important tool in the econometric analysis of count data. In a pioneering contribution to ..
KJE Walsh, S Sharmila, M Thatcher, S Wales, S Utembe, A Vaughan
2020-02-15
This study aims to investigate the response of simulated tropical cyclone formation to specific climate conditions, using an ideal..
CC Stephan, TP Lane, C Jakob
2020-01-16
Characteristics of tropospheric low-frequency gravity waves are diagnosed in radiosonde soundings from the TropicalWarm Pool-Inter..
KJ Allen, P Hope, D Lam, JR Brown, RJ Wasson
2020-01-02
Extreme rainfall is projected to increase with climate change, but the impact of climate change on floods is uncertain. Infrastruc..
Jason Thompson, Mark Stevenson, Jasper S Wijnands, Kerry A Nice, Gideon Dpa Aschwanden, Jeremy Silver, Mark Nieuwenhuijsen, Peter Rayner, Robyn Schofield, Rohit Hariharan, Christopher N Morrison
2020-01-01
BACKGROUND: Death and injury due to motor vehicle crashes is the world's fifth leading cause of mortality and morbidity. City and ..
Francisco Lang, Yi Huang, Steven Siems, Michael Manton
Due to a lack of observations, relatively large discrepancies exist between precipitation products over the Southern Ocean. In thi..
Andrew D King, Todd P Lane, Benjamin J Henley, Josephine R Brown
under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. There has recently been interest in understanding the differences between spec..
M Jucker, TP Lane, CL Vincent, S Webster, SA Wales, V Louf
This study evaluates the performance and benefits of kilometre and sub‐kilometre scale convection permitting simulations over trop..
Phuong-Loan Nguyen, Margot Bador, Lisa V Alexander, Todd P Lane, Chris C Funk
Understanding precipitation extremes over Monsoon Asia is vital for water resource management and hazard mitigation, but there are..
RJ Allan, J Gergis, RD D’Arrigo
Although extended or ‘protracted’ El Niño and La Niña episodes were first suggested nearly 20 years ago, they have not received th..
AD King, AH Butler, M Jucker, NO Earl, I Rudeva
2019-12-27
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) have been linked with anomalously cold temperatures at the surface in the middle to high lati..
I Rudeva, I Simmonds, D Crock, G Boschat
2019-12-01
This study examines the relationship between midlatitude synoptic activity and variations in the width of the tropics in the South..
NC Constantinou, AMC Hogg
2019-11-16
“Eddy saturation” is the regime in which the total time-mean volume transport of an oceanic current is relatively insensitive to t..
Z Chen, R Schofield, P Rayner, T Zhang, C Liu, C Vincent, S Fiddes, RG Ryan, J Alroe, ZD Ristovski, RS Humphries, MD Keywood, J Ward, C Paton-Walsh, T Naylor, X Shu
2019-11-10
The rapid environmental changes in Australia prompt a more thorough investigation of the influence of transportation, local emissi..
EP Lim, HH Hendon, G Boschat, D Hudson, DWJ Thompson, AJ Dowdy, JM Arblaster
2019-11-01
The occurrence of extreme hot and dry conditions in warm seasons can have large impacts on human health, energy and water supplies..
Kimberley J Reid, Ian Simmonds, Claire L Vincent, Andrew D King
2019-10-01
Australian northwest cloudbands (NWCBs) are continental-scale bands of continuous cloud that stretch from northwest to southeast A..
Yi Huang, Steven Siems, Michael Manton, Leon Majewski, Alain Protat, Hanh Nguyen
2019-09-03
Cloud-top height (CTH) and cloud-top temperature (CTT) retrieved from the Himawari-8 observations are evaluated using the active s..
Vidhi Bharti, Eric Schulz, Christopher W Fairall, Byron W Blomquist, Yi Huang, Alain Protat, Steven T Siems, Michael J Manton
2019-09-01
Given the large uncertainties in surface heat fluxes over the Southern Ocean, an assessment of fluxes obtained by European Centre ..
Beth J Woodhams, Cathryn E Birch, John H Marsham, Todd P Lane, Caroline L Bain, Stuart Webster
The Lake Victoria region in East Africa is a hot spot for intense convective storms that are responsible for the deaths of thousan..
Benjamin J Henley, Murray C Peel, Rory Nathan, Andrew David King, Anna M Ukkola, David J Karoly, Kim S Tan
2019-08-02
Human-induced climate change poses a major threat to the reliable water supply in many highly populated regions. Here we combine ..
X Shen, DD Huang, B Song, C Vincent, R Togneri
2019-08-01
In this paper, we propose a novel approach for 3-D rain field reconstruction using satellite signals. It uses the estimated signal..
MJ Hilton, DR Borrie, TM Konlechner, SJ Wakes, TP Lane, PS Kench, DM Kennedy, Mohamed Aslam
Aeolian sedimentation and dune development have not been reported from coral atolls at equatorial latitudes. This study presents h..
Raphael Neukom, Luis A Barboza, Michael P Erb, Feng Shi, Julien Emile-Geay, Michael N Evans, Jorg Franke, Darrell S Kaufman, Lucie Lucke, Kira Rehfeld, Andrew Schurer, Feng Zhu, Stefan Bronnimann, Gregory J Hakim, Benjamin J Henley, Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Nicholas McKay, Veronika Valler, Lucien von Gunten
Multidecadal surface temperature changes may be forced by natural as well as anthropogenic factors, or arise unforced from the cli..
Abhnil A Prasad, Steven C Sherwood, Michael J Reeder, Todd P Lane
2019-07-16
Cirrus clouds can strongly affect Earth's radiation balance, but questions remain about their growth mechanisms and rates. Here we..
D Dommenget, K Nice, T Bayr, D Kasang, C Stassen, M Rezny
2019-06-03
This study introduces the Monash Simple Climate Model (MSCM) experiment database. The simulations are based on the Globally Resolv..
E Short, CL Vincent, TP Lane
2019-06-01
The diurnal cycle of surface winds throughout the Maritime Continent plays a significant role in the formation of precipitation ov..
Zoe E Gillett, Julie M Arblaster, Andrea J Dittus, Makoto Deushi, Patrick Joeckel, Douglas E Kinnison, Olaf Morgenstern, David A Plummer, Laura E Revell, Eugene Rozanov, Robyn Schofield, Andrea Stenke, Kane A Stone, Simone Tilmes
Studies have recently reported statistically significant relationships between observed year-to-year spring Antarctic ozone variab..
Mandy B Freund, Benjamin J Henley, David J Karoly, Helen V McGregor, Nerilie J Abram, Dietmar Dommenget
El Niño events differ substantially in their spatial pattern and intensity. Canonical Eastern Pacific El Niño events have sea surf..
Andrew D King
How the pattern of the Earth’s surface warming will change under global warming represents a fundamental question for our understa..
Andrew King, Benjamin J Henley, David J Karoly, Jatin Kala
2019-05-01
JMK Sniderman, JR Brown, JD Woodhead, AD King, NP Gillett, KB Tokarska, K Lorbacher, J Hellstrom, RN Drysdale, M Meinshausen
2019-03-01
Climate projections<sup>1–3</sup> and observations over recent decades<sup>4,5</sup> indicate that precipitation in subtropical la..
C Paton-Walsh, P Rayner, J Simmons, SL Fiddes, R Schofield, H Bridgman, S Beaupark, R Broome, SD Chambers, LTC Chang, M Cope, CT Cowie, M Desservettaz, D Dominick, K Emmerson, H Forehead, IE Galbally, A Griffiths, ÉA Guérette, A Haynes
2019-01-01
This paper presents a summary of the key findings of the special issue of Atmosphere on Air Quality in New South Wales and discuss..
Vidhi Bharti, Christopher Fairall, Byron Blomquist, Yi Huang, Alain Protat, Peter Sullivan, Steven Siems, Michael Manton
The Clouds, Aerosols, Precipitation, Radiation, and atmospheric Composition Over the southeRn oceaN (CAPRICORN) experiment was car..
Craig H Bishop
The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and 4D‐Var Data Assimilation (DA) approaches require that a fixed observation error variance be ..
Luke J Harrington, Sophie Lewis, Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Andrew D King, Friederike EL Otto
Global-average temperatures are a powerful metric for both long-term climate change policy, and also to measure the aggregate fluc..
Sopia Lestari, Andrew King, Claire Vincent, David Karoly, Alain Protat
This study investigates the interannual, seasonal, and intraseasonal variation in rainfall extremes (REs) in Jakarta and surroundi..
Fahimeh Sarmadi, Yi Huang, Steven T Siems, Michael J Manton
<jats:p>The wintertime (May–October) precipitation across south-eastern Australia, and the Snowy Mountains, was studied for 22 yea..
Dragana Zovko-Rajak, Todd P Lane, Robert D Sharman, Stanley B Trier
An observed turbulence encounter that occurred outside a mesoscale convective system over the central USA on 3 June 2005 is invest..
SE Perkins-Kirkpatrick, AD King, EA Cougnon, MR Grose, ECJ Oliver, NJ Holbrook, SC Lewis, F Pourasghar
Lili Lei, Jeffrey S Whitaker, Craig Bishop
2018-12-01
Experiments using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Finite‐Volume Cubed‐Sphere Dynamical Core Global Forecasting..
Michael A Herrera, Istvan Szunyogh, Adam Brainard, David D Kuhl, Karl Hoppel, Craig H Bishop, Teddy R Holt, Qingyun Zhao, Sabrina Rainwater
A regionally enhanced global (REG) data assimilation (DA) method is proposed. The technique blends high resolution model informati..
Thibaut Dauhut, Jean-Pierre Chaboureau, Peter H Haynes, Todd P Lane
Overshoots are convective air parcels that rise beyond their level of neutral buoyancy. A giga-large-eddy simulation (100-m cubic ..
Andrew D King, Reto Knutti, Peter Uhe, Daniel M Mitchell, Sophie C Lewis, Julie M Arblaster, Nicolas Freychet
2018-09-01
Given the Paris Agreement it is imperative there is greater understanding of the consequences of limiting global warming to the ta..
EM Fischer, U Beyerle, CF Schleussner, AD King, R Knutti
2018-08-28
Large climate model ensembles are widely used to quantify changes in climate extremes. Here we demonstrate that model‐based estima..
Claire L Vincent, Todd P Lane
2018-08-01
Diabatic heating in the Maritime Continent region is controlled by a unique blend of mesoscale variability associated with steep t..
N Haughton, G Abramowitz, MG De Kauwe, AJ Pitman
2018-07-25
The FLUXNET dataset contains eddy covariance measurements from across the globe and represents an invaluable estimate of the fluxe..
AD King, LJ Harrington
2018-05-28
The Paris Agreement aims to keep global warming well below 2°C above preindustrial levels with a preferred ambitious 1.5°C target...
F Lang, Y Huang, ST Siems, MJ Manton
2018-01-01
The characteristics of the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) in relation to synoptic meteorology over the Southern Ocean ar..
Sonya L Fiddes, Matthew T Woodhouse, Zebedee Nicholls, Todd P Lane, Robyn Schofield
Natural aerosol emission represents one of the largest uncertainties in our understanding of the radiation budget. Sulfur emitted ..
Leah D Grant, Todd P Lane, Susan C van den Heever
The processes governing organized tropical convective systems are not completely understood, despite their important influences on..
Andrew D King, Claire L Vincent
The Maritime Continent is a densely populated area of complex topography located between the Pacific and Indian Oceans. It is an a..
PD Williams, MJ Alexander, EA Barnes, AH Butler, HC Davies, CI Garfinkel, Y Kushnir, TP Lane, JK Lundquist, O Martius, RN Maue, WR Peltier, K Sato, AA Scaife, C Zhang
2017-11-16
This paper synthesizes and summarizes atmospheric variability on time scales from seconds to decades through a phenomenological ce..